GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/12/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Once Caldas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Huracan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Once Caldas

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Once CaldasDLWDW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HuracanWLWLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Once CaldasHuracan
56.4Attack38.9
76.9Defence55.6
76.9Form27.8
70.7Power41.6
1.77xG0.50
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