Once Caldasvs
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/16/2025, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Once Caldas are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 37.4-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
81.1%
Model confidence
81.1%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20