GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Once Caldas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fortaleza FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Primera A, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Once Caldas

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

13.3%

Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Once CaldasLWDDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Fortaleza FCWLDDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Once CaldasFortaleza FC
54.7Attack37.7
60.0Defence55.1
52.0Form39.1
56.7Power46.3
1.63xG0.80
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