Once Caldasvs
Fluminense
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/2/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Once Caldas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fluminense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60