GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 1/31/2023, 1:10:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Once Caldas are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Once CaldasL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Deportes TolimaWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Once CaldasDeportes Tolima
54.7Attack48.1
60.0Defence66.7
52.0Form56.8
56.7Power58.8
1.16xG1.06
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