GGOALVIO

Colombia · Copa Colombia · 2/23/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Once Caldas are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cucuta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 58.0-point power-rating edge (100.0 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Copa Colombia, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Once Caldas

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Once CaldasLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CucutaWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Once CaldasCucuta
100.0Attack16.7
100.0Defence75.0
100.0Form25.0
100.0Power42.1
1.43xG0.73
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