GGOALVIO

Colombia · Copa Colombia · 8/20/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Once Caldas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 38.4-point power-rating edge (100.0 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Copa Colombia, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Once Caldas

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

14.1%

Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Once CaldasDLDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Alianza ValleduparLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Once CaldasAlianza Valledupar
100.0Attack50.0
100.0Defence75.0
100.0Form58.3
100.0Power61.6
1.38xG0.96
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