Once Caldasvs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Copa Colombia · 9/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Once Caldas 1-0 Alianza Valledupar
Original prediction
Once Caldas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 61.2% | 46.9% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.6% | 27.7% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 6.45 | 14.2% | 25.5% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40