Omonia Nicosiavs
St. Truiden
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omonia Nicosia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Omonia Nicosia 4-2 St. Truiden
Original prediction
Omonia Nicosia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 48.0% | 37.9% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 27.1% | 28.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 24.9% | 33.3% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Omonia Nicosia
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Omonia Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60