GGOALVIO

Cyprus · 1. Division · 10/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Omonia Nicosia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Omonia Nicosia 2-2 Olympiakos

Original prediction

Omonia Nicosia

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2474.2%63.9%-10.3 pts
Draw5.4416.9%20.0%3.1 pts
Away10.308.9%16.1%7.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–011%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–19%

Predicted outcome

Omonia Nicosia

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Omonia Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Omonia NicosiaWWWWD

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
OlympiakosLDDDD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Omonia NicosiaOlympiakos
73.3Attack53.3
86.7Defence40.0
73.3Form26.7
76.4Power43.2
2.35xG0.94
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