Omonia Nicosiavs
Krasava Ypsonas
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omonia Nicosia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Omonia Nicosia 4-1 Krasava Ypsonas
Original prediction
Omonia Nicosia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 77.3% | 56.3% | -21.0 pts |
| Draw | 6.10 | 15.0% | 23.5% | 8.5 pts |
| Away | 11.73 | 7.8% | 20.2% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Omonia Nicosia
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Omonia Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20