UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:13
Omonia Nicosia

Omonia Nicosia

Home
W
10
Full time
Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

Away
WW
GSP Stadium
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Omonia Nicosia(45%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Omonia Nicosia
Win probability
Omonia Nicosia
45%
Draw
24%
Kairat Almaty
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Omonia Nicosia
94
Kairat Almaty
73
Defence
Omonia Nicosia
91
Kairat Almaty
82
Momentum
Omonia Nicosia
100
Kairat Almaty
100
Danger (xG)
Omonia Nicosia
2.70
Kairat Almaty
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Omonia Nicosia)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Kairat Almaty)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Omonia Nicosia)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Kairat Almaty)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia
W
Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
WWW

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Omonia Nicosia45%
Draw24%
Kairat Almaty31%

Omonia Nicosia leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Omonia Nicosia head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at GSP Stadium in mixed form (W), while Kairat Almaty arrive in decent form (WW). Omonia Nicosia have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Kairat Almaty over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Omonia Nicosia (91/100) and Kairat Almaty (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Omonia Nicosia have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Kairat Almaty have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Omonia Nicosia and Kairat Almaty in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Omonia Nicosia to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Omonia Nicosia 4491%, Draw 2372%, Kairat Almaty 3137%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Omonia Nicosia

Omonia Nicosia

W
@ Apoel Nicosia
16 May 2026
30
Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

W
@ Sutjeska
15 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Sutjeska
8 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Okzhetpes
27 Jun 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Almaty?

GoalVio's model predicts Omonia Nicosia to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Almaty?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Almaty?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Omonia Nicosia vs Kairat Almaty?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more