Omonia Nicosiavs
Apollon Limassol
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omonia Nicosia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Omonia Nicosia 0-0 Apollon Limassol
Original prediction
Omonia Nicosia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 54.4% | 42.1% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.2% | 27.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.48 | 20.5% | 30.5% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Omonia Nicosia
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Omonia Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40