GGOALVIO

Cyprus · 1. Division · 9/3/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Omonia Nicosia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Apoel Nicosia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Apoel Nicosia hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the 1. Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Omonia NicosiaDWLWW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Apoel NicosiaLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Omonia NicosiaApoel Nicosia
57.4Attack58.3
65.7Defence77.8
63.9Form67.6
63.1Power67.5
0.96xG1.11
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