Omonia Aradippouvs
Olympiakos
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omonia Aradippou · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Omonia Aradippou 1-1 Olympiakos
Original prediction
Omonia Aradippou
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 36.4% | 39.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.0% | 29.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.5% | 31.3% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Omonia Aradippou
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Omonia Aradippou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40