Omonia Aradippouvs
AEL
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omonia Aradippou · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Omonia Aradippou 0-2 AEL
Original prediction
Omonia Aradippou
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.6% | 36.5% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.9% | 28.1% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 37.5% | 35.4% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Omonia Aradippou
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Omonia Aradippou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60