Omiya Ardijavs
Ventforet Kofu
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omiya Ardija · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Omiya Ardija 1-0 Ventforet Kofu, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Omiya Ardija 5-1 Ventforet Kofu
Original prediction
Omiya Ardija
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.9% | 49.4% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.6% | 27.5% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.5% | 23.1% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Projected Score
Omiya Ardija 1–0 Ventforet Kofu
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Omiya Ardija
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Omiya Ardija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80