Omiya Ardijavs
Vanraure Hachinohe
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omiya Ardija · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Omiya Ardija 2-0 Vanraure Hachinohe, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Omiya Ardija 3-1 Vanraure Hachinohe
Original prediction
Omiya Ardija
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.4% | 53.0% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.3% | 25.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.74 | 19.3% | 21.5% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Projected Score
Omiya Ardija 2–0 Vanraure Hachinohe
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Omiya Ardija
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Omiya Ardija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40