Omiya Ardijavs
Kataller Toyama
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omiya Ardija · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Omiya Ardija 0-3 Kataller Toyama
Original prediction
Omiya Ardija
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 43.2% | 44.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.5% | 24.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.3% | 31.0% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Omiya Ardija
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Omiya Ardija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80