Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omarska · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Omarska 1-0 Slavija
Original prediction
Omarska
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.1% | 41.0% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.1% | 27.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 23.8% | 31.8% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Omarska
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Omarska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OmarskaLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SlavijaDLWLD
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OmarskaSlavija
20.0Attack40.0
46.7Defence26.7
6.7Form33.3
28.1Power36.7
1.38xG1.26