GGOALVIO

Bosnia · 1st League - RS · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Drina Zvornik · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-2 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Omarska 1-1 Drina Zvornik

Original prediction

Drina Zvornik

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6433.7%22.7%-10.9 pts
Draw3.2027.8%25.5%-2.2 pts
Away2.3038.6%51.7%13.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

13.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–115%
  2. 2.0–214%
  3. 3.1–111%

Predicted outcome

Drina Zvornik

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Drina Zvornik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OmarskaLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Drina ZvornikWLDWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
OmarskaDrina Zvornik
19.0Attack76.2
57.1Defence71.4
19.0Form52.4
34.9Power61.9
0.66xG1.77
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