Omanvs
Saudi Arabia
COMPLETEDWorld · Gulf Cup of Nations · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saudi Arabia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oman 0-3 Saudi Arabia
Original prediction
Saudi Arabia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.20 | 14.6% | 29.2% | 14.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 28.3% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.5% | 42.5% | -17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Saudi Arabia
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Saudi Arabia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80