Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oman · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oman 3-1 Kuwait
Original prediction
Oman
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.4% | 43.9% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.1% | 28.3% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.5% | 27.8% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Oman
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Oman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OmanLDWLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KuwaitLLDDW
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OmanKuwait
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.37xG1.00