Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oman Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oman Club 1-2 Sur
Original prediction
Oman Club
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 19:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.55 | 19.7% | 37.2% | 17.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.6% | 26.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 54.7% | 35.9% | -18.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Oman Club
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Oman Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Oman ClubLWWWD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
SurWLLLD
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Oman ClubSur
72.2Attack55.6
38.9Defence11.1
44.4Form44.4
52.8Power38.6
2.41xG1.51