Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oman Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oman Club 0-1 Bahla
Original prediction
Oman Club
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.7% | 42.0% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.4% | 28.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 32.9% | 29.1% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Oman Club
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Oman Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Oman ClubWLLWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BahlaWDWLL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Oman ClubBahla
33.3Attack44.4
77.8Defence44.4
66.7Form33.3
61.0Power42.2
1.36xG0.89