Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oman Club · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oman Club 0-2 Al-Shabab
Original prediction
Oman Club
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.20 | 28.4% | 41.3% | 12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.7% | 27.7% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.9% | 31.0% | -10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Oman Club
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Oman Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Oman ClubWWWDW
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Al-ShababLWDDW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Oman ClubAl-Shabab
50.0Attack83.3
100.0Defence16.7
100.0Form50.0
86.5Power53.0
1.65xG1.01