Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Łomża · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Łomża are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wikielec are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wikielec hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Łomża holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Łomża
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Łomża has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20