Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Widzew II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Łomża are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Widzew II are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Widzew II hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Widzew II holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Widzew II
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Widzew II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00