Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Łomża · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Łomża are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Wasilków are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wasilków hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 31.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Łomża holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Łomża
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
Łomża has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20