Łomżavs
Warta Sieradz
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/22/2025, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Łomża · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Łomża are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Łomża holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Łomża
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Łomża has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60