GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/21/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Łomża · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Łomża are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Łomża holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Łomża

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Łomża has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ŁomżaDDLWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Warta SieradzWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ŁomżaWarta Sieradz
66.7Attack42.2
0.0Defence52.9
0.0Form43.1
23.7Power47.4
1.50xG1.39
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