GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Łomża · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Łomża are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Victoria Sulejówek are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Victoria Sulejówek hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Łomża holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Łomża

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Łomża has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ŁomżaLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.67/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Victoria SulejówekDWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.67/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
ŁomżaVictoria Sulejówek
66.7Attack40.2
0.0Defence52.9
0.0Form40.2
23.7Power46.2
1.51xG1.32
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