Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Łomża are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Troszyn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Troszyn
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60