Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Łomża are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Swit are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Swit hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swit
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00