Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Łomża are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Swit are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Swit hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Swit
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80