GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/2/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Łomża are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki hold a 52.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 76.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Probability

74.2%

Model confidence

74.2%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ŁomżaWWLDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWWWWW

GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ŁomżaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
66.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence68.6
0.0Form74.5
23.7Power76.1
0.94xG2.97
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