Łomżavs
Olimpia Zambrów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia Zambrów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Łomża 0-2 Olimpia Zambrów
Original prediction
Olimpia Zambrów
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.39 | 14.1% | 28.6% | 14.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.8% | 24.2% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.38 | 65.1% | 47.1% | -18.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia Zambrów
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Olimpia Zambrów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40