GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/25/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Łomża · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Łomża are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mławianka Mława hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Łomża holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Łomża

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Łomża has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ŁomżaWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mławianka MławaLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ŁomżaMławianka Mława
66.7Attack39.2
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form38.2
23.7Power43.7
1.61xG1.28
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