Łomżavs
Jagiellonia II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Łomża · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Łomża 1-2 Jagiellonia II
Original prediction
Łomża
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.9% | 41.1% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.4% | 26.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 25.8% | 32.6% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Łomża
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Łomża has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ŁomżaLDDLL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Jagiellonia IIDLWDD
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ŁomżaJagiellonia II
66.7Attack48.0
0.0Defence46.1
0.0Form44.1
23.7Power46.8
1.73xG1.59