Łomżavs
Jagiellonia II
SCHEDULEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Łomża are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Łomża hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the III Liga - Group 1, favouring a draw with 11.6% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.4%
Model confidence
11.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80