Łomżavs
Jagiellonia II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/22/2025, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Łomża · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Łomża are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Łomża holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Łomża
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Łomża has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60