Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Łomża are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bełchatów are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60