Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Łomża are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Bełchatów are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bełchatów
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20