Olympique Safivs
Chabab Ben Guerir
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola 2 · 10/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympique Safi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Olympique Safi 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympique Safi 1-0 Chabab Ben Guerir
Original prediction
Olympique Safi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.0% | 39.8% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.2% | 30.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.82 | 18.8% | 29.3% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Projected Score
Olympique Safi 0–0 Chabab Ben Guerir
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Olympique Safi
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Olympique Safi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00