Olympique Béjavs
US Ben Guerdane
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/30/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Olympique Béja 0-0 US Ben Guerdane, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympique Béja 1-2 US Ben Guerdane
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.8% | 34.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.3% | 33.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Projected Score
Olympique Béja 0–0 US Ben Guerdane
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.2%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Olympique BéjaLDWLW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
US Ben GuerdaneLDLWW
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Olympique BéjaUS Ben Guerdane
0.0Attack32.1
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form38.5
23.7Power47.0
0.76xG0.75