GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Olympique Béja 0-0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, with an exact score probability of 20%.

Prediction record

Final result

Olympique Béja 1-1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.0029.8%28.8%-1.1 pts
Draw2.6533.8%32.3%-1.5 pts
Away2.4636.4%39.0%2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.65 · Draw 1.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.5 pts

Projected Score

Olympique Béja 0–0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

32.3%

Model confidence

39.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympique BéjaDLLDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Progrès Sakiet EddaïerWDW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Olympique BéjaProgrès Sakiet Eddaïer
22.2Attack33.3
55.6Defence100.0
11.1Form77.8
32.9Power72.8
0.68xG0.97
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