Olympique Béjavs
ES Sahel
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 10/18/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ES Sahel · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Olympique Béja 0-0 ES Sahel, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympique Béja 1-2 ES Sahel
Original prediction
ES Sahel
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.98 | 22.3% | 30.7% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.1% | 30.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 46.6% | 38.8% | -7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Projected Score
Olympique Béja 0–0 ES Sahel
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
ES Sahel
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
ES Sahel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Olympique BéjaLDDLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
ES SahelLLDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Olympique BéjaES Sahel
26.7Attack33.3
46.7Defence53.3
13.3Form26.7
32.2Power40.7
0.91xG0.97