Olympique Akbouvs
USM Alger
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Olympique Akbou 0-0 USM Alger, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympique Akbou 2-3 USM Alger
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.6% | 34.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.63 | 34.1% | 31.5% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.4% | 33.6% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Projected Score
Olympique Akbou 0–0 USM Alger
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.5%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Olympique AkbouLWDLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
USM AlgerWDDDD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Olympique AkbouUSM Alger
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
50.0Form66.7
51.0Power68.0
0.97xG0.96