Olympique Akbouvs
CS Constantine
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 10/23/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympique Akbou · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympique Akbou 3-0 CS Constantine
Original prediction
Olympique Akbou
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.9% | 43.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.8% | 27.3% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.3% | 29.6% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Olympique Akbou
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Olympique Akbou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20