Olympique Akbouvs
Ben Aknoun
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 1 · 10/16/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympique Akbou · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympique Akbou 2-1 Ben Aknoun
Original prediction
Olympique Akbou
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.1% | 37.6% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.3% | 29.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 20.6% | 32.8% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Olympique Akbou
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Olympique Akbou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20