Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympic 4-1 Utsikten
Original prediction
Olympic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 77.7% | 79.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.67 | 13.6% | 12.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 10.45 | 8.7% | 8.6% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–09%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Olympic
Probability
79.1%
Model confidence
79.1%
Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OlympicWLLDW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
UtsiktenLLWLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OlympicUtsikten
60.0Attack29.3
34.7Defence21.3
40.0Form16.0
45.0Power25.4
3.23xG1.00