Olympicvs
Trelleborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trelleborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olympic 0-2 Trelleborg
Original prediction
Trelleborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.0% | 29.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 26.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.1% | 44.0% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Trelleborg
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Trelleborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40